Economic Buzz: India Growth Forecast To Rebound 7.4% In FY19, Says IMF

In India, growth is forecast to rebound to 7.4 percent in FY 2018/19 as the economy recovers from disruptions related to the currency exchange initiative and the rollout of the new Goods and Services Tax, the IMF said on Wednesday. Asia continues to be the main engine of the worlds economy, accounting for more than 60 percent of global growthn++three-quarters of which comes from China and India alone. But there are risks and challenges ahead, including from a tightening of global financial conditions, a shift toward inward-looking policies, andn++over the longer runn++population aging, slowing productivity growth, and the rise of the digital economy, according to the IMFs latest regional report. Asia is expected to grow at 5.6 per cent this year and next, it said, adding that the outlook is supported by strong global demand, as well as still accommodative policies and financial conditions. According to the report, inflation has become more backward-looking, meaning that past inflation drives current inflation more than future expectations. This suggests that if inflation rises, it may persist.